Thursday, March 27, 2008

What Professional Business Valuations Don’t Tell You

The Myth Of Fair Business Valuation

“In business, you don’t get what you deserve, you get what you negotiate”. – Chester L. Karrass

So, how can Bear Stearns be worth about $20 billion dollars in January 2007 and be worth only $238M in 16th March 2008 – just 14 months later? And how can it be worth about $1B on within days after JP Morgan announced the $238M deal? What is the fair valuation?

The answer is simple and holds a message that every business owner should be keenly aware of: There is NO fair value for illiquid assets.

While the 100:1 valuation swing that Bear Stearns saw within a span of about an year is uncommon for public sector companies, it is not at all uncommon for mid-market businesses. We routinely see business owners who have suffered enormously from dramatic valuation compression due to poor planning and/or picking wrong advisory teams. Let’s look at what “fair valuation” of illiquid assets means in the context of mid-market business owners and shareholders who are getting ready to sell or recapitalize their businesses.

Some business intermediaries and financial advisors insist that the seller get a professional valuation before placing the business in the market. Some intermediaries even insist that the business must be marketed at its “fair value” or “appraised value”. Professional valuation specialists charge thousands or tens of thousands of dollars to come up with a fancy report that narrows the value of the business to a precise number or a narrow range of values. This type of report is typically tens of pages long and addresses valuation factors such as financials, industry sector, strength of management team, value of the assets, the purpose of the sale, etc. A typical report also uses various valuation methodologies to arrive at a weighted average number that is given out as value of the business.

So, what does it mean to have a “professional valuation report” or a “fair value report”? Does this mean that the seller will know the exact selling price of the business? Not really!

Professional valuations and fair value opinions aim to provide a “fair business valuation” but they are all contingent on multiple assumptions. The valuations are as good as the assumptions upon which they are based. Two of the key factors in valuations – future growth rate and operational synergies – are highly subjective and no two views on these topics are likely to be identical. Unfortunately for business owners, the exact conditions laid out by valuation professionals never occur in real life!

On top of variability in key valuation factors, sale terms such as the type of sale, the payment schedule, consulting clauses, earn-outs, and the reps and warranties can easily cause a 20-40% swing in what the seller gets to take home. Setting aside sale terms, which are typically not covered by a valuation report, the seller will be lucky if the real sales price comes within 10% to 20% of the professional valuation. In several of our most recent deals, the initial valuation report was off at least 30% from the final sales price.

The reality of business sales process is that the value of a business is determined by the acquirer much more than any other factor. The same business could be viewed completely differently by two different acquirers depending on their strategic needs and their perceptions of future cash flows.

The business sale process also plays a big role. Acquirers tend to pay much more for a deal that they believe is competitive. While negotiating in a recent deal, one buyer, after realizing the seller needed to sell for medical reasons and thinking that there was no competition on the deal, said: “I know I got a price reduction but if I wait long enough wouldn’t the seller have to pretty much give the business away?” Fortunately for the seller, we ran a soft auction and there was another acquirer at the table who ended up consummating the deal per seller’s terms.

From our experience, the type of buyer and the type of sale skew the valuation to such an extent that it is unwise for a business owner to be not familiar with these variables and their impact before the beginning of the sales process. Business owners should be aware that these two factors play a disproportionately large role (see chart) and consequently any “professional valuation” has only limited applicability in the business sale process.

From a deal making perspective, running a competitive bid process and finding the right acquirer for the deal involves broad based search, discipline, substantial amount of negotiating, creative deal making, and people management skills. The competitive bid process tends to be longer and will require more cooperation from the seller but the upside is substantial.

The Bear Stearns deal on March 16th, 2008 was clearly based on “Fire Sale Value”. To avoid a fire sale, and to stay in the green zone of valuations, mid-market business owners should plan early, hire a competent M&A advisor who can help plan and orchestrate the sales process, and take every precaution possible to plan their exits. The key messages for business owners looking to sell or recapitalize their businesses are:

- There is no fair value for illiquid assets. It all boils down to what a willing buyer can pay and what the business owner is willing to accept.

- To maximize valuation, working with the right acquirer is extremely important. Picking an M&A advisory team that can sell the value of the business to the right buyer can go a long way in feathering the next egg.

- Be prepared for a drawn out sale process. Competitive bid process, an important tool used by M&A specialists to maximize exit valuation, can take time. Plan early and never sell in desperation.

Tuesday, March 11, 2008

Beware Of The Private Equity Buyer

What Business Owners Need To Watch Out For When Dealing With PEGs

One of the biggest obstacles to deal making for mid market companies is the lack of financing. With SBA guaranteed funding being capped at $2M, doing deals north of $3M with individual buyers becomes a challenge. Some businesses can find synergistic corporate acquirers but that is not a likely outcome for many businesses. Depending on their situation, business owners need to determine if Private Equity is the right option for the company. Here is where the business owners may find out that the Private Equity Groups (PEGs) can be saviors. For many mid-market companies, acquisition by a PEG is the most realistic exit.

While PEGs can be saviors for business owners, sellers have to be very careful in dealing with PEGs. Once the business owner determines that a PEG is the right option for liquidity, he/she has to be keenly aware that PEGs are in the business of buying and selling companies. A lot of what PEGs do is financial engineering and PEGs are extremely sophisticated and savvy in making deals that are beneficial to them. Many PEGs, in spite of being private “equity”, resort to debt extensively to facilitate transactions. Debt in the deal could mean financial conditions in the acquisition which increases the uncertainty in the deal.

Deals with PEGs are generally far more complex than those done with individual acquirers or synergistic strategic acquirers. Given the intricacies of the deal, and to combat the experience of the PEG, business owners need to have a deal making team of their own to ensure that the PEG does not take advantage of the business owner. From our experience, here are some common things that business owners need to prepare for when dealing with a PEG:

Preparations
 Clean up the books and have the financial statements recast and proper pro-forma financials developed. Make sure that forecasts are not overly aggressive and especially avoid underperforming the plan during the course of the deal.
 Be prepared for due diligence and review all material issues to catch any problem areas early in the process. Late surprises can have a dramatic negative impact on deal value and in some cases kill the deal. Even a minor due diligence item is likely to be used to aggressively drive down the deal value or introduce conditions that are onerous to the owner.
 Remember that due diligence can go both ways! Check the PEG’s reputation and how they have transacted prior deals. Is the PEG a good match for the seller? If the deal requires the seller to stay on post-close, the seller should contact the owners of the businesses previously acquired by the PEG to understand their perspective on working with the PEG. If the PEG is not a match, it may make sense to walk away early before expending too much time interacting with the PEG.
 Without a competitive environment, a PEG, or anyone else for that matter, is unlikely to pay top dollar for the company. To strengthen the negotiating position, make sure the M&A advisor is pursuing all possible angles to cast the widest possible net.

LOI
 A PEG could easily lock up an inexperienced seller with a basic LOI and drain the seller with a drawn out negotiating process. A comprehensive LOI reduces back end negotiating and is to the seller’s advantage.
 Negotiate key terms of the deal in the LOI. This is where the seller has the maximum leverage. Depending on how well the M&A advisor orchestrates the deal, this is when the acquirers perceive competition and do the best they can to get what they want. Once the LOI is signed, the leverage starts shifting and the longer the deal takes to close, the more leverage the PEG is likely to gain.
 If the deal is a competitive deal, try to resolve as many key terms as possible before choosing which LOI to accept.
 While LOIs in general are non-binding, there could be specific elements that are binding. Watch out!

Deal Terms
 If at all possible, get a stock deal. The advantages are many and in most cases are well worth taking a lower valuation to compensate for the tax disadvantages of the buyer.
 Whether a stock or asset sale, ensure that the M&A advisor and accountant work closely to make the deal as tax beneficial as possible. Tax issues could have a dramatic impact on what the seller gets to take home. So, leave no stone unturned!
 For a stock deal, make sure there is a “basket” clause in the LOI to avoid being nickel and dimed on non-material post-close liabilities.
 In a stock sale, get agreement to cap the potential post-close liability to a reasonable percent of the transaction value. This clause must be in the LOI because it can be much tougher to get it in the acquisition agreement once an LOI lacking it has been signed.
 Watch out for financing conditions in the LOI. In today's tight credit environment, financing conditions introduce a potentially risky and sometimes unacceptable delay to closure.
 Be very cognizant of the debt, equity tradeoffs. Keep in mind that the seller is selling an equity share and not taking out a loan.
 If possible, get a “non-reliance” clause to prevent the buyer from suing seller post-close based on oral statements and other things that are not part of the written acquisition agreement.
 If possible, get the PEG to sign off on a termination or “break-up” fee if the deal falls through for any reason other than seller’s non-performance.

Negotiations
 PEGs are extremely disciplined about the process. Sellers get emotional at their own risk! Emotions can be easily exploited so it is better to let the deal makers interface regarding deal points without exposing the seller’s emotions.
 Without competition (or the perception of it), a PEG will seize the opportunity to exploit deal issues for monetary gain. As the deal draws out the PEG knows that the seller has already spent a considerable amount of time and money on the process and without competition for the deal the PEG has an upper hand.
 If the deal is getting bogged down, brainstorm with the negotiating team and look for creative ways to get the desired outcome. It may be difficult to salvage a deal if the positions are too entrenched and/or emotions take hold. Creativity and objectivity are key ingredients to good deal making.
 A PEG will have multiple members of their team working on the deal. Watch out for the good-cop, bad-cop routine. Without sufficient care, it is easy to end up making multiple concessions during the process without getting much back in return. Having the deal terms handled by an M&A advisor is an easy way to avoid this problem.
 When dealing with multiple PEGs, keep in mind that each deal is different - different players, different negotiating leverage, different risks, and different timing. Strategize a plan specific to each PEG with the advisory team. Be keenly aware of the seller’s personal limitations, deal-breakers, and wish-list, and the amount of time and money that is being consumed in the deal making process.

Summary
While PEGs can be a boon for mid-market sellers, it is imperative that the sellers understand that they are dealing with a professional buyer. A good advisory team, careful preparation and negotiating skills are necessary to maximize the benefit. Sellers beware: One line in the contract can make the difference between a good deal and a bad deal.

Is Private Equity The Right Option For Your Business?

What Private Equity Investors Look For In A Company

To understand what Private Equity Groups (PEGs) look for in a company, one needs to understand the meaning of Private Equity. So, what is Private Equity?

Private Equity is long-term, committed capital provided in the form of equity to help private companies grow and succeed. If your growing mid-market company is looking to expand, Private Equity could help. Private Equity could also help if you are trying to recapitalize the company, exit the company, or transition the company to new management.

Unlike debt financiers who require capital repayment plus interest on a set schedule, irrespective of your cash flow situation, Private Equity is invested in exchange for a stake in your company. After the equity infusion, you will have a smaller piece of the pie. However, within a few years, your piece of the pie could be worth considerably more than what you had before.

Private Equity investors’ returns are dependent on the growth and profitability of your business. If you succeed, they succeed. If you fail, they fail. PEG’s capital infusion and involvement have proven beneficial to companies and many companies have gone much further with Private Equity than they otherwise would have. PEGs will seek to increase a company’s value, without having to take day-to-day management control. In some cases, PEGs bring in their own management team and facilitate a management transition. Given the high amount of risk these investors incur, and the duration of their investment, PEGs invest in the business on the strength of the manager’s business plans, knowledge, trust and negotiations with him.

Generally speaking, unless a business can offer the prospect of significant growth within five years, it is unlikely to be of interest to a PEG. For some high growth companies and companies with limited “hard” assets, Private Equity may be the only option for capital.

However, Private Equity is not for every business. Private Equity may not be suitable for companies with limited capital needs, for companies with stable cash flow, or for companies with substantial hard assets. For these types of companies, debt financing may be a better alternative. Many small companies whose main purpose is to provide a good standard of living for their owners are also not suitable for Private Equity investment, as they are unlikely to provide the necessary financial returns to this type of investor.

Assuming the company is suitable for Private Equity investment, investors look at several criteria before providing the equity for your business.

Strong Management team
Unless the intended purpose of the equity transaction is management transition, the quality of the management team is by far the most important criterion for many Private Equity investors. Most investors do not invest in a company unless they are satisfied with the management team.

Growing Market Segment
The value added by Private Equity in many cases is their ability to grow the “pie” and in that context the growth potential in the target market segment is a very critical factor. PEGs also want to ensure that the company is well positioned to grow within the target market segment.

Realistic Growth/Expense Plan
Unrealistic planning will create a doubt in investors’ minds about the management’s business skills. Similarly, under budgeting for material, labor and equipment costs will reflect poorly on the management team.

Exit Route
The PEGs are in the deal for the long term but they need a workable exit to get their money back. The exit could be business sale, management buyout, IPO or something else. PEGs need to have the confidence that there is a clear, planned path to their exit.

Security
Unlike debt, equity investment does not come with any overt security collateral. To mitigate risk, PEGs typically require a seat on the company’s board and a codified management plan to protect the PEG’s interest.

Contingency Planning
No business grows without hiccups. Understanding what could go wrong and putting contingency plans in place to deal with specific situations can go a long way in gaining a PEG’s trust.

Reputation
PEGs check the business credit rating, the management team’s reputation, and enthusiasm and determination of the team before they invest. The best business ideas are not worth much without good people and PEG’s want to make sure that they are getting a strong, positive team with good marketplace reputation.

Good Rate of Return
When everything else checks out, it comes to terms. PEGs look for a good return for the capital they are risking on your venture. The return a PEG is willing to accept is a direct function of how desirable your deal is and how much competition exists for your deal.

In summary, PEG investors must be assured that the capital being deployed by them will yield the returns they are seeking. If the investment is considered worthwhile then there will be competition to do your deal. Competition often means you get a higher valuation, better deal terms for your company and more cash proceeds for you.

Monday, March 10, 2008

Financing Options For Mid Market Companies

Debt Capital, Equity Capital & Convertible Debt

There are three basic types of funding options for mid market companies: debt, equity and convertible debt. In this article, we will discuss the trade offs of each of these funding options in the context of a mid-market company.

Debt Capital
Debt capital is money raised for a company that must be repaid over a period of time with interest. Debt financing can be either short-term or long-term. Unsecured debt is rare and lenders typically secure debt with assets of the company. This also means that service, technology, and other asset-lite companies have a hard time raising debt capital.
Common debt financers include banks, credit unions, finance companies, and credit card companies.
Advantages of debt capital
* Raising debt capital, for profitable asset intensive companies, can be faster than raising equity capital.
* Debt capital is typically cheaper than equity capital because the financing companies pick only the lowest credit risk companies and further secure their loan with assets.
* The lender does not gain an ownership interest in the business and this allows the business owner to remain in the driver’s seat of the company without being answerable to investors.
Disadvantages of debt capital
* The loan amount and the interest payments can saddle the balance sheet and income statement of the company.
* Any downturn in the business or unexpected capital needs can make it difficult to make the interest payments and send the company into a debt induced downward spiral.
* For some debt instruments, the terms can be complex and may onerously burden the business.
* If the debt is personally guaranteed, liability will extend to non-business assets.
* If the company gets into trouble, the debt financier could become adversarial.

Equity Capital
Equity capital is money raised by a business in exchange for a share of ownership in the company. Equity financing allows a business to obtain funds without incurring debt and without having the burden of associated interest/principal payments. For a growing company with cash needs and for companies with an erratic earnings stream, it can be a big advantage to not have to repay a specific amount of money at a particular time.
Equity capital can be public or private. Public equity capital is only available for large companies (revenues over a hundred million dollars). Two key sources of private equity capital for mid market businesses are Private Equity Groups (PEGs) and corporate investors. Other forms of private capital such as angel capital and venture capital, are typically not available to mid-market companies. Angel investors and venture capitalists provide funding to young, nascent private companies.
Equity investors can be passive or active. Passive investors are willing to give you capital but will play little or no part in running the company, while active investors expect to be heavily involved in the company’s operations. Investing in a company’s equity over a long term without any security collateral is inherently high risk. As a result of that, this form of capital typically comes with an active participation from the investors.
Passive or active, equity investors are typically patient, long term investors. These investors seek to add value in an effort to help the company grow and achieve a greater return on the investment. In return for their risk and participation, private equity investors usually look for a 25% or more return on investment, and put a number of checks and balances on the company’s operations to achieve their goals.
Advantage of Equity Capital
* Lack of recurring principle/interest payments makes the business more able to cope with the ebb and flow of the business and increases the margin of safety
* Corporation’s risk is shared with investors
* Right investors can add significant value
* Smooth transition option for business owners looking to ease out of the business
* May be the only possible type of capital for rapidly growing and asset-lite companies
* Equity investor is committed to the company until exit. If the company gets into trouble, the equity investor is likely to help with the turnaround
Disadvantages of Equity Capital
* Owner answerable to investors and some loss of control
* Can be more expensive than debt capital (albeit at a lower risk)
* It typically takes longer to raise equity capital than debt capital
* Deal terms can be complex. Without good deal making support, the company may unknowingly allow the investor to undervalue the company and take a disproportionately higher percentage of the company compared to the value of the investment made.

Convertible Debt
Convertible debt is a hybrid of debt capital and equity capital. Convertible debt typically involves favorable interest rates and other terms on the loan in return for the option to convert some or all of the debt into equity at predetermined price levels. Convertible debt instruments are complex and require a substantial amount of work on the part of the deal makers. There are many different variations of convertible debt available depending on the needed trade-off between debt and equity.
Convertible debt is more likely to be seen in distressed or high risk companies, and some investors specialize in distressed convertible debt. However, the flexibility of convertible debt makes it an attractive option in a wide variety of situations. This option gives the management maximum flexibility and is worth considering for larger mid-market companies.